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Home » Predictions » Heidenheim x SC Freiburg Betting tips for September 21 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 21 September 2024, 10h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Heidenheim Heidenheim
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
ODD: @3.45 Don't miss this prediction!

Heidenheim x SC Freiburg Betting tips for September 21 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Heidenheim x SC Freiburg, Saturday, 21/9/2024
📅 21/9/2024
10:30
Heidenheim Heidenheim
2.60
X
3.45
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
2.57

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Heidenheim x SC Freiburg:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1725.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Heidenheim x SC Freiburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Freiburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-355.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Heidenheim scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Heidenheim matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 SC Freiburg did not receive any yellow cards in the last 4 matches as the away team.
👉 Heidenheim is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Heidenheim x SC Freiburg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Heidenheim x SC Freiburg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Heidenheim x SC Freiburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 21 of September

🏟️ Heidenheim X SC Freiburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 21 of September, 2024 – 10:30
🔵 Heidenheim – Winning probability: 33.98% | Fair line: 2.94
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.77% | Fair line: 3.05
🔴 SC Freiburg – Winning probability: 33.25% | Fair line: 3.01
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Heidenheim x SC Freiburg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1184423 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Heidenheim x SC Freiburg

Is it a good idea to bet on Heidenheim?

🔵 Heidenheim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $544.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$116.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $808.50
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$138.50.

Is betting on SC Freiburg worth it?

🔴 SC Freiburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $518.10;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$151.90.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Heidenheim x SC Freiburg

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heidenheim x SC Freiburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Heidenheim and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Heidenheim.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Heidenheim.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heidenheim x SC Freiburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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