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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Heidenheim x Union Berlin Betting tips for January 11 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Heidenheim Heidenheim
PREDICTION Union Berlin Wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Union Berlin Union Berlin
ODD: @2.45 Don't miss this prediction!

Heidenheim x Union Berlin Betting tips for January 11 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Heidenheim x Union Berlin, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
14:30
Heidenheim Heidenheim
2.90
X
3.25
Union Berlin Union Berlin
2.45

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Heidenheim x Union Berlin:

🔮 Union Berlin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Union Berlin, you can win up to $1225.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Heidenheim x Union Berlin:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Heidenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Berlin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Union Berlin, Heidenheim scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Heidenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Union Berlin conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Heidenheim has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Union Berlin.
👉 It is not a good time for Union Berlin as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Heidenheim x Union Berlin?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Heidenheim x Union Berlin, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Heidenheim x Union Berlin for the Germany Bundesliga I – 11 of January

🏟️ Heidenheim X Union Berlin – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 14:30
🔵 Heidenheim – Winning probability: 22.85% | Fair line: 4.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.57% | Fair line: 6.86
🔴 Union Berlin – Winning probability: 62.57% | Fair line: 1.6
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Heidenheim x Union Berlin right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244472 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Heidenheim x Union Berlin

Should you bet on Heidenheim?

🔵 Heidenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $437.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$333.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $337.50;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$512.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Union Berlin?

🔴 Union Berlin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – profiting $913.50;
  • And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$543.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Heidenheim x Union Berlin

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heidenheim x Union Berlin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Heidenheim and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Heidenheim.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Union Berlin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heidenheim x Union Berlin

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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