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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Heidenheim x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for December 15 in Germany Bundesliga I
Sunday, 15 December 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Heidenheim Heidenheim
PREDICTION VfB Stuttgart Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Heidenheim x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for December 15 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Heidenheim x VfB Stuttgart, Sunday, 15/12/2024
📅 15/12/2024
14:30
Heidenheim Heidenheim
3.80
X
3.90
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
1.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Heidenheim x VfB Stuttgart:

🔮 VfB Stuttgart wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on VfB Stuttgart, you can win up to $925.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Heidenheim x VfB Stuttgart:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Heidenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against VfB Stuttgart, Heidenheim scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 VfB Stuttgart matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Heidenheim conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Heidenheim has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against VfB Stuttgart playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Heidenheim as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Heidenheim x VfB Stuttgart?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Heidenheim x VfB Stuttgart, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Heidenheim x VfB Stuttgart for the Germany Bundesliga I – 15 of December

🏟️ Heidenheim X VfB Stuttgart – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 15 of December, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 Heidenheim – Winning probability: 20.07% | Fair line: 4.98
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.03% | Fair line: 4.75
🔴 VfB Stuttgart – Winning probability: 58.89% | Fair line: 1.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Heidenheim x VfB Stuttgart is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1236762 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Heidenheim x VfB Stuttgart

Is it a good idea to bet on Heidenheim?

🔵 Heidenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$240.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $609.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$181.00.

Is betting on VfB Stuttgart worth it?

🔴 VfB Stuttgart: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $501.50
  • And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$91.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Heidenheim x VfB Stuttgart

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Heidenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heidenheim x VfB Stuttgart

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Heidenheim, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Heidenheim.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heidenheim x VfB Stuttgart

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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