Holstein Kiel x Heidenheim Betting tips for November 2 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Holstein Kiel x Heidenheim, Saturday, 2/11/2024

📅 2/11/2024 14:30

Holstein Kiel 2.55

X 3.50

Heidenheim 2.55

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Holstein Kiel x Heidenheim:

🔮 Heidenheim wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Heidenheim, you can win up to $1275.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Holstein Kiel x Heidenheim: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Holstein Kiel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-375.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Heidenheim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $125.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Heidenheim scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Heidenheim, Holstein Kiel scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Holstein Kiel conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Holstein Kiel conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Heidenheim. 👉 Holstein Kiel has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Heidenheim playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Holstein Kiel as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Holstein Kiel x Heidenheim?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Holstein Kiel x Heidenheim:

Analysis from Holstein Kiel x Heidenheim for the Germany Bundesliga I – 2 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Holstein Kiel x Heidenheim right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213968 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Holstein Kiel x Heidenheim

Is it worth betting on Holstein Kiel?

🔵 Holstein Kiel: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $372.00
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$388.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $550.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.00.

Is it worth betting on Heidenheim?

🔴 Heidenheim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 540 times – profiting $837.00;
• And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$377.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Holstein Kiel x Heidenheim

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Holstein Kiel
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Holstein Kiel x Heidenheim

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Holstein Kiel, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Holstein Kiel.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Heidenheim.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Holstein Kiel x Heidenheim

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.