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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Holstein Kiel x RB Leipzig Betting tips for December 7 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 07 December 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
PREDICTION Holstein Kiel wins Probability 24% 1 X 2
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
ODD: @5 Don't miss this prediction!

Holstein Kiel x RB Leipzig Betting tips for December 7 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Holstein Kiel x RB Leipzig, Saturday, 7/12/2024
📅 7/12/2024
14:30
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
5.00
X
4.33
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
1.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Holstein Kiel x RB Leipzig:

🔮 Holstein Kiel wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Holstein Kiel, you can win up to $2500.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Holstein Kiel x RB Leipzig:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Holstein Kiel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-310.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, RB Leipzig conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for RB Leipzig as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Holstein Kiel x RB Leipzig?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Holstein Kiel x RB Leipzig, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Holstein Kiel x RB Leipzig for the Germany Bundesliga I – 7 of December

🏟️ Holstein Kiel X RB Leipzig – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 7 of December, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 Holstein Kiel – Winning probability: 24.91% | Fair line: 4.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.90% | Fair line: 7.75
🔴 RB Leipzig – Winning probability: 62.19% | Fair line: 1.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Holstein Kiel
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Holstein Kiel x RB Leipzig right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1233239 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Holstein Kiel x RB Leipzig

Is betting on Holstein Kiel worth it?

🔵 Holstein Kiel: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $1000.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$250.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $432.90;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$437.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on RB Leipzig?

🔴 RB Leipzig: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – profiting $372.00;
  • And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$8.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Holstein Kiel x RB Leipzig

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Holstein Kiel
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Holstein Kiel x RB Leipzig

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Holstein Kiel and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Holstein Kiel.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Holstein Kiel.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Holstein Kiel x RB Leipzig

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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