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Home Β» Predictions Β» Bundesliga 1 Β» Holstein Kiel x Werder Bremen Betting tips for March 29 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 29 March 2025, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
PREDICTION No tip
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
Don't miss this prediction!

Holstein Kiel x Werder Bremen Betting tips for March 29 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Holstein Kiel x Werder Bremen, Saturday, 29/3/2025
πŸ“… 29/3/2025
14:30
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
3.10
X
3.60
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
2.18

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Holstein Kiel x Werder Bremen:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Holstein Kiel x Werder Bremen

Some important points for the tip for Holstein Kiel x Werder Bremen:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Holstein Kiel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $500.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Holstein Kiel conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Holstein Kiel x Werder Bremen for the Germany Bundesliga I – 29 of March

🏟️ Holstein Kiel X Werder Bremen – Germany Bundesliga I
πŸ“… 29 of March, 2025 – 14:30
πŸ”΅ Holstein Kiel – Winning probability: 31.99% | Fair line: 3.13
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.14% | Fair line: 5.22
πŸ”΄ Werder Bremen – Winning probability: 48.87% | Fair line: 2.05
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 Holstein Kiel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Holstein Kiel and Werder Bremen.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1290777 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1Γ—2 market for Holstein Kiel x Werder Bremen

Is betting on Holstein Kiel worth it?

πŸ”΅ Holstein Kiel: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $672.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$8.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $494.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$316.00.

Should you bet on Werder Bremen?

πŸ”΄ Werder Bremen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $578.20;
  • And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$68.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Holstein Kiel x Werder Bremen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 Holstein Kiel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Holstein Kiel x Werder Bremen

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Holstein Kiel, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Holstein Kiel.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: +0.25 Holstein Kiel.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Holstein Kiel x Werder Bremen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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