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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Holstein Kiel x Wolfsburg Betting tips for August 31 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 31 August 2024, 10h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
PREDICTION Wolfsburg Wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Holstein Kiel x Wolfsburg Betting tips for August 31 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Holstein Kiel x Wolfsburg, Saturday, 31/8/2024
📅 31/8/2024
10:30
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
3.10
X
3.50
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
2.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Holstein Kiel x Wolfsburg:

🔮 Wolfsburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wolfsburg, you can win up to $1100.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Holstein Kiel x Wolfsburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Holstein Kiel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolfsburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-398.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Holstein Kiel scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Holstein Kiel conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Holstein Kiel x Wolfsburg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Holstein Kiel x Wolfsburg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Holstein Kiel x Wolfsburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 31 of August

🏟️ Holstein Kiel X Wolfsburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 31 of August, 2024 – 10:30
🔵 Holstein Kiel – Winning probability: 26.49% | Fair line: 3.78
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.26% | Fair line: 5.79
🔴 Wolfsburg – Winning probability: 56.25% | Fair line: 1.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Holstein Kiel
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Holstein Kiel x Wolfsburg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1170907 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Holstein Kiel x Wolfsburg

Is betting on Holstein Kiel worth it?

🔵 Holstein Kiel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $546.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$194.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $425.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$405.00.

Is it worth betting on Wolfsburg?

🔴 Wolfsburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $672.00;
  • And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$232.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Holstein Kiel x Wolfsburg

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Holstein Kiel
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Holstein Kiel x Wolfsburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Holstein Kiel, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Holstein Kiel.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Holstein Kiel x Wolfsburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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