Mainz x Bayern Munich Betting tips for December 14 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Mainz x Bayern Munich, Saturday, 14/12/2024

📅 14/12/2024 14:30

Mainz 7.50

X 5.00

Bayern Munich 1.35

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mainz x Bayern Munich:

🔮 Bayern Munich wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayern Munich, you can win up to $675.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Mainz x Bayern Munich: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $85.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayern Munich in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-28.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Bayern Munich scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Mainz x Bayern Munich, with Mainz as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Mainz conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Bayern Munich. 👉 Bayern Munich is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 66.00% of possession. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Bayern Munich has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Mainz x Bayern Munich?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Mainz x Bayern Munich for the Germany Bundesliga I – 14 of December

When the best bet on Mainz x Bayern Munich is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1236358 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mainz x Bayern Munich

Is it a good idea to bet on Mainz?

🔵 Mainz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $260.00
• And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$700.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 30 times – profiting $120.00;
• And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$850.00.

Should you bet on Bayern Munich?

🔴 Bayern Munich: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 93.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 930 times – having a profit of $325.50;
• And would lose other 70 times – losing -$70.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$255.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mainz x Bayern Munich

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mainz x Bayern Munich

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.5 Mainz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Mainz.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mainz x Bayern Munich

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.