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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Mainz x Bochum Betting tips for January 11 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Mainz Mainz
PREDICTION Mainz wins Probability 85% 1 X 2
Bochum Bochum
ODD: @1.47 Don't miss this prediction!

Mainz x Bochum Betting tips for January 11 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Mainz x Bochum, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
14:30
Mainz Mainz
1.47
X
4.50
Bochum Bochum
6.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mainz x Bochum:

🔮 Mainz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mainz, you can win up to $735.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Mainz x Bochum:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $710.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bochum in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Mainz scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Bochum, Mainz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Bochum matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Bochum conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Mainz is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Mainz has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Bochum playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Mainz x Bochum?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mainz x Bochum, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Mainz x Bochum for the Germany Bundesliga I – 11 of January

🏟️ Mainz X Bochum – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 14:30
🔵 Mainz – Winning probability: 85.11% | Fair line: 1.17
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.64% | Fair line: 11.57
🔴 Bochum – Winning probability: 6.25% | Fair line: 16.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mainz x Bochum right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244129 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mainz x Bochum

Is betting on Mainz worth it?

🔵 Mainz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 85.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.47. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $399.50;
  • And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$249.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $315.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$595.00.

Is betting on Bochum worth it?

🔴 Bochum: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $315.00
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$625.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Mainz x Bochum

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mainz x Bochum

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Mainz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Mainz.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Mainz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mainz x Bochum

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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