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Home » Predictions » Mainz x Holstein Kiel Betting tips for April 5 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 05 April 2025, 13h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Mainz Mainz
PREDICTION Mainz wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
ODD: @1.47 Don't miss this prediction!

Mainz x Holstein Kiel Betting tips for April 5 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Mainz x Holstein Kiel, Saturday, 5/4/2025
📅 5/4/2025
13:30
Mainz Mainz
1.47
X
4.50
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
6.12

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mainz x Holstein Kiel:

🔮 Mainz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mainz, you can win up to $735.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Mainz x Holstein Kiel:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Holstein Kiel scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Mainz x Holstein Kiel?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mainz x Holstein Kiel, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Mainz x Holstein Kiel for the Germany Bundesliga I – 5 of April

🏟️ Mainz X Holstein Kiel – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 5 of April, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Mainz – Winning probability: 76.60% | Fair line: 1.31
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.03% | Fair line: 7.67
🔴 Holstein Kiel – Winning probability: 10.37% | Fair line: 9.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Mainz x Holstein Kiel is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1295872 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mainz x Holstein Kiel

Is it a good idea to bet on Mainz?

🔵 Mainz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 770 times – having a profit of $361.90;
  • And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$131.90.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $455.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$415.00.

Is it worth betting on Holstein Kiel?

🔴 Holstein Kiel: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $512.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$388.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Mainz x Holstein Kiel

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mainz x Holstein Kiel

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Mainz and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Mainz.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Holstein Kiel.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mainz x Holstein Kiel

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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