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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Mainz x TSG Hoffenheim Betting tips for December 1 in Germany Bundesliga I
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Mainz Mainz
PREDICTION Mainz wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Mainz x TSG Hoffenheim Betting tips for December 1 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Mainz x TSG Hoffenheim, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
14:30
Mainz Mainz
2.00
X
3.65
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
3.37

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mainz x TSG Hoffenheim:

🔮 Mainz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mainz, you can win up to $1000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Mainz x TSG Hoffenheim:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on TSG Hoffenheim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 TSG Hoffenheim did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against TSG Hoffenheim, Mainz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Mainz conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Mainz has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against TSG Hoffenheim playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Mainz x TSG Hoffenheim?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mainz x TSG Hoffenheim, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Mainz x TSG Hoffenheim for the Germany Bundesliga I – 1 of December

🏟️ Mainz X TSG Hoffenheim – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 Mainz – Winning probability: 55.79% | Fair line: 1.79
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.68% | Fair line: 4.84
🔴 TSG Hoffenheim – Winning probability: 23.53% | Fair line: 4.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Mainz and TSG Hoffenheim.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mainz x TSG Hoffenheim

Is betting on Mainz worth it?

🔵 Mainz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$120.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $556.50;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$233.50.

Is betting on TSG Hoffenheim worth it?

🔴 TSG Hoffenheim: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $568.80;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$191.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Mainz x TSG Hoffenheim

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mainz x TSG Hoffenheim

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Mainz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Mainz.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Mainz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mainz x TSG Hoffenheim

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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