Mainz x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for March 7 in Germany Bundesliga I
| 📅 7/3/2026 14:30 |
Mainz3.01 |
X 3.60 |
VfB Stuttgart ![]() 2.14 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mainz x VfB Stuttgart:
🔮 Mainz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mainz, you can win up to $1505.00!
Some important points for the tip for Mainz x VfB Stuttgart:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Mainz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 VfB Stuttgart matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, VfB Stuttgart conceded at least 1 goal(s).
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Mainz x VfB Stuttgart?
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Analysis from Mainz x VfB Stuttgart for the Germany Bundesliga I – 7 of March
🏟️ Mainz X VfB Stuttgart – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 7 of March, 2026 – 14:30
🔵 Mainz – Winning probability: 35.59% | Fair line: 2.81
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.50% | Fair line: 4.26
🔴 VfB Stuttgart – Winning probability: 40.91% | Fair line: 2.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Mainz x VfB Stuttgart
One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Mainz x VfB Stuttgart.
Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 The odds for Mainz had a slight Decreased of -6.06%: the market opened with odds of @3.3 for Mainz and now the odds are @3.1.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.6 for Draw and now the odds are @3.6.
📊 The odds for VfB Stuttgart had a slight Raised of 7.50%: the market opened with odds of @2.0 for VfB Stuttgart and now the odds are @2.15.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of 0.25 for VfB Stuttgart is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The market expects more goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 2.75 and now is at 3.00 goals.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Mainz x VfB Stuttgart
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mainz x VfB Stuttgart right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1492632 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Is it worth betting on Mainz?
🔵 Mainz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.01. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $723.60
- And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$83.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$136.00.
Is betting on VfB Stuttgart worth it?
🔴 VfB Stuttgart: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $467.40;
- And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$122.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Mainz x VfB Stuttgart
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mainz x VfB Stuttgart
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Mainz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Mainz. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mainz x VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Mainz x VfB Stuttgart
Who is the favourite: Mainz or VfB Stuttgart?
According to our analysis, the favourite for this match is VfB Stuttgart, with a win probability of 40.91%. However, keep in mind that in football anything can happen!
Who will win: Mainz x VfB Stuttgart?
There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests VfB Stuttgart has the better chance to win, with a probability of 40.91%. If you choose to back VfB Stuttgart, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of Mainz beating VfB Stuttgart today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Mainz to win approximately 36 of them against VfB Stuttgart.
What are the chances of VfB Stuttgart beating Mainz today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect VfB Stuttgart to win approximately 41 of them against Mainz.
Which team should I bet on: Mainz or VfB Stuttgart?
Smart bettors seek bets with positive expected value. According to our analysis, the recommended bet is: Mainz wins, with an expected value of 10.32%. Remember to bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: dont stake over 2%!
How much is Mainz paying today? See what you can win by betting on Mainz x VfB Stuttgart:
The odds for Mainz to beat VfB Stuttgart today are around 3.01. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh3010.00 if Mainz wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is VfB Stuttgart paying today? See what you can win by betting on Mainz x VfB Stuttgart:
The average odds for VfB Stuttgart to beat Mainz today are 2.14. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2140.00 if VfB Stuttgart wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Mainz