RB Leipzig x Borussia Mgladbach Betting tips for November 9 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for RB Leipzig x Borussia Mgladbach, Saturday, 9/11/2024

📅 9/11/2024 17:30

RB Leipzig 1.48

X 4.78

Borussia Mgladbach 5.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for RB Leipzig x Borussia Mgladbach:

🔮 Borussia Mgladbach wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Mgladbach, you can win up to $2750.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for RB Leipzig x Borussia Mgladbach: 👉 If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-20.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Mgladbach in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-373.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Borussia Mgladbach scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Borussia Mgladbach, RB Leipzig scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, RB Leipzig conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 RB Leipzig has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Borussia Mgladbach playing at home.

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Analysis from RB Leipzig x Borussia Mgladbach for the Germany Bundesliga I – 9 of November

When the best bet on RB Leipzig x Borussia Mgladbach is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1218440 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for RB Leipzig x Borussia Mgladbach

Is betting on RB Leipzig worth it?

🔵 RB Leipzig: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $244.80
• And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$245.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $453.60
• And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$426.40.

Should you bet on Borussia Mgladbach?

🔴 Borussia Mgladbach: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $1620.00;
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$980.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match RB Leipzig x Borussia Mgladbach

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for RB Leipzig x Borussia Mgladbach

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 RB Leipzig, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 RB Leipzig.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Borussia Mgladbach.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for RB Leipzig x Borussia Mgladbach

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.