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Home » Predictions » RB Leipzig x TSG Hoffenheim Betting tips for April 5 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 05 April 2025, 13h30 Germany Bundesliga I
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
PREDICTION RB Leipzig wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

RB Leipzig x TSG Hoffenheim Betting tips for April 5 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for RB Leipzig x TSG Hoffenheim, Saturday, 5/4/2025
📅 5/4/2025
13:30
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
1.50
X
4.50
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
5.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for RB Leipzig x TSG Hoffenheim:

🔮 RB Leipzig wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on RB Leipzig, you can win up to $750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for RB Leipzig x TSG Hoffenheim:

👉 If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $114.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on TSG Hoffenheim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $460.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, RB Leipzig scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against TSG Hoffenheim, RB Leipzig scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 RB Leipzig has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against TSG Hoffenheim playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from RB Leipzig x TSG Hoffenheim for the Germany Bundesliga I – 5 of April

🏟️ RB Leipzig X TSG Hoffenheim – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 5 of April, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 RB Leipzig – Winning probability: 81.49% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.83% | Fair line: 8.45
🔴 TSG Hoffenheim – Winning probability: 6.67% | Fair line: 14.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between RB Leipzig and TSG Hoffenheim.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1295872 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for RB Leipzig x TSG Hoffenheim

Is betting on RB Leipzig worth it?

🔵 RB Leipzig: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – profiting $405.00;
  • And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$215.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $420.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$460.00.

Is betting on TSG Hoffenheim worth it?

🔴 TSG Hoffenheim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $322.00
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$608.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match RB Leipzig x TSG Hoffenheim

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for RB Leipzig x TSG Hoffenheim

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 RB Leipzig and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 RB Leipzig.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for RB Leipzig x TSG Hoffenheim

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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