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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » RB Leipzig x Wolfsburg Betting tips for November 30 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
PREDICTION Wolfsburg Wins Probability 32% 1 X 2
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
ODD: @5.6 Don't miss this prediction!

RB Leipzig x Wolfsburg Betting tips for November 30 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for RB Leipzig x Wolfsburg, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
14:30
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
1.50
X
4.33
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
5.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for RB Leipzig x Wolfsburg:

🔮 Wolfsburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wolfsburg, you can win up to $2800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for RB Leipzig x Wolfsburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-164.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolfsburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $198.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Wolfsburg, RB Leipzig scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Wolfsburg has not lost any of them.
👉 RB Leipzig has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Wolfsburg playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on RB Leipzig x Wolfsburg?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from RB Leipzig x Wolfsburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 30 of November

🏟️ RB Leipzig X Wolfsburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 RB Leipzig – Winning probability: 54.27% | Fair line: 1.84
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.05% | Fair line: 7.67
🔴 Wolfsburg – Winning probability: 32.68% | Fair line: 3.06
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for RB Leipzig x Wolfsburg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for RB Leipzig x Wolfsburg

Is betting on RB Leipzig worth it?

🔵 RB Leipzig: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $270.00;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $432.90;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$437.10.

Is it worth betting on Wolfsburg?

🔴 Wolfsburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $1518.00
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$848.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match RB Leipzig x Wolfsburg

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for RB Leipzig x Wolfsburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 RB Leipzig, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 RB Leipzig.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Wolfsburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for RB Leipzig x Wolfsburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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