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Home ยป Predictions ยป SC Freiburg x Augsburg Betting tips for October 19 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 13h30 Germany Bundesliga I
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
PREDICTION SC Freiburg wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Augsburg Augsburg
ODD: @1.82 Don't miss this prediction!

SC Freiburg x Augsburg Betting tips for October 19 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for SC Freiburg x Augsburg, Saturday, 19/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/10/2024
13:30
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
1.82
X
3.80
Augsburg Augsburg
4.01

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SC Freiburg x Augsburg:

๐Ÿ”ฎ SC Freiburg wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SC Freiburg, you can win up to $910.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for SC Freiburg x Augsburg:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SC Freiburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $180.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Augsburg, SC Freiburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 SC Freiburg matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Augsburg matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Augsburg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ SC Freiburg has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Augsburg playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on SC Freiburg x Augsburg?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on SC Freiburg x Augsburg:

Analysis from SC Freiburg x Augsburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 19 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ SC Freiburg X Augsburg – Germany Bundesliga I
๐Ÿ“… 19 of October, 2024 – 13:30
๐Ÿ”ต SC Freiburg – Winning probability: 70.76% | Fair line: 1.41
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.71% | Fair line: 5.98
๐Ÿ”ด Augsburg – Winning probability: 12.53% | Fair line: 7.98
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 SC Freiburg
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on SC Freiburg x Augsburg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203336 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SC Freiburg x Augsburg

Is it a good idea to bet on SC Freiburg?

๐Ÿ”ต SC Freiburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – profiting $582.20;
  • And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$292.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $476.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$354.00.

Should you bet on Augsburg?

๐Ÿ”ด Augsburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $391.30
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$478.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SC Freiburg x Augsburg

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 SC Freiburg
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Freiburg x Augsburg

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 SC Freiburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 SC Freiburg.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Freiburg x Augsburg

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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