SC Freiburg x Augsburg Betting tips for October 19 in Germany Bundesliga I
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19/10/2024 13:30 |
SC Freiburg 1.82 |
X 3.80 |
Augsburg 4.01 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SC Freiburg x Augsburg:
๐ฎ SC Freiburg wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SC Freiburg, you can win up to $910.00!
Important information for your tip for SC Freiburg x Augsburg: ๐ If you had bet $100 on SC Freiburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $180.0. |
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Analysis from SC Freiburg x Augsburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 19 of October
๐๏ธ SC Freiburg X Augsburg – Germany Bundesliga I |
When the best bet on SC Freiburg x Augsburg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203336 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for SC Freiburg x Augsburg
Is it a good idea to bet on SC Freiburg?
๐ต SC Freiburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 710 times – profiting $582.20;
- And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$292.20.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $476.00;
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$354.00.
Should you bet on Augsburg?
๐ด Augsburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $391.30
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$478.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match SC Freiburg x Augsburg
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 SC Freiburg
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Freiburg x Augsburg
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 SC Freiburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 SC Freiburg.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Freiburg x Augsburg
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.