SC Freiburg x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for April 5 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for SC Freiburg x Borussia Dortmund, Saturday, 5/4/2025

📅 5/4/2025 13:30

SC Freiburg 3.00

X 3.50

Borussia Dortmund 2.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for SC Freiburg x Borussia Dortmund:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for SC Freiburg x Borussia Dortmund

Some important points for the tip for SC Freiburg x Borussia Dortmund: 👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Freiburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-122.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $243.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Borussia Dortmund, SC Freiburg scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between SC Freiburg x Borussia Dortmund, with SC Freiburg as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, SC Freiburg conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Borussia Dortmund.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Freiburg x Borussia Dortmund?

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Analysis from SC Freiburg x Borussia Dortmund for the Germany Bundesliga I – 5 of April

When the best bet on SC Freiburg x Borussia Dortmund is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1295872 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Freiburg x Borussia Dortmund

Is betting on SC Freiburg worth it?

🔵 SC Freiburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $480.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $750.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$50.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on Borussia Dortmund?

🔴 Borussia Dortmund: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $575.00;
• And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$35.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match SC Freiburg x Borussia Dortmund

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 SC Freiburg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Freiburg x Borussia Dortmund

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 SC Freiburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 SC Freiburg.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Freiburg x Borussia Dortmund

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.