SC Freiburg x Borussia Mgladbach Betting tips for November 30 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for SC Freiburg x Borussia Mgladbach, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 14:30

SC Freiburg 1.85

X 3.80

Borussia Mgladbach 3.86

Our algorithm has selected this tip for SC Freiburg x Borussia Mgladbach:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for SC Freiburg x Borussia Mgladbach

Important information for your tip for SC Freiburg x Borussia Mgladbach: 👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Freiburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-30.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Mgladbach in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-373.0. 👉 SC Freiburg has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Borussia Mgladbach playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on SC Freiburg x Borussia Mgladbach?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Freiburg x Borussia Mgladbach, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from SC Freiburg x Borussia Mgladbach for the Germany Bundesliga I – 30 of November

When the best bet on SC Freiburg x Borussia Mgladbach is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Freiburg x Borussia Mgladbach

Is it worth betting on SC Freiburg?

🔵 SC Freiburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 500 times – profiting $425.00;
• And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$75.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $644.00
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$126.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Borussia Mgladbach?

🔴 Borussia Mgladbach: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $772.20;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$42.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match SC Freiburg x Borussia Mgladbach

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 SC Freiburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Freiburg x Borussia Mgladbach

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 SC Freiburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 SC Freiburg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 SC Freiburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Freiburg x Borussia Mgladbach

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.