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Home Β» Predictions Β» Bundesliga 1 Β» St Pauli x Eintracht Frankfurt Betting tips for January 11 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
St Pauli St Pauli
PREDICTION No tip
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
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St Pauli x Eintracht Frankfurt Betting tips for January 11 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for St Pauli x Eintracht Frankfurt, Saturday, 11/1/2025
πŸ“… 11/1/2025
14:30
St Pauli St Pauli
3.34
X
3.50
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
2.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for St Pauli x Eintracht Frankfurt:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for St Pauli x Eintracht Frankfurt

Important information for your tip for St Pauli x Eintracht Frankfurt:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on St Pauli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Eintracht Frankfurt in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 Eintracht Frankfurt matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, St Pauli conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Eintracht Frankfurt conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Eintracht Frankfurt as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from St Pauli x Eintracht Frankfurt for the Germany Bundesliga I – 11 of January

🏟️ St Pauli X Eintracht Frankfurt – Germany Bundesliga I
πŸ“… 11 of January, 2025 – 14:30
πŸ”΅ St Pauli – Winning probability: 23.38% | Fair line: 4.28
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.63% | Fair line: 3.62
πŸ”΄ Eintracht Frankfurt – Winning probability: 49.00% | Fair line: 2.04
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 St Pauli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on St Pauli x Eintracht Frankfurt is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244129 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for St Pauli x Eintracht Frankfurt

Should you bet on St Pauli?

πŸ”΅ St Pauli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $538.20;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$231.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $700.00
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$20.00.

Is it worth betting on Eintracht Frankfurt?

πŸ”΄ Eintracht Frankfurt: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $539.00;
  • And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$29.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match St Pauli x Eintracht Frankfurt

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 St Pauli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Pauli x Eintracht Frankfurt

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 St Pauli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 St Pauli.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Eintracht Frankfurt.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Pauli x Eintracht Frankfurt

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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