St Pauli x TSG Hoffenheim Betting tips for March 14 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for St Pauli x TSG Hoffenheim, Friday, 14/3/2025

📅 14/3/2025 19:30

St Pauli 2.25

X 3.40

TSG Hoffenheim 3.08

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for St Pauli x TSG Hoffenheim:

🔮 TSG Hoffenheim wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on TSG Hoffenheim, you can win up to $1540.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for St Pauli x TSG Hoffenheim: 👉 If you had bet $100 on St Pauli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-262.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on TSG Hoffenheim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $705.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, TSG Hoffenheim scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 St Pauli matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, St Pauli conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from St Pauli x TSG Hoffenheim for the Germany Bundesliga I – 14 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between St Pauli and TSG Hoffenheim.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1280764 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for St Pauli x TSG Hoffenheim

Is betting on St Pauli worth it?

🔵 St Pauli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $375.00;
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$325.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $504.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Is betting on TSG Hoffenheim worth it?

🔴 TSG Hoffenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 490 times – profiting $1019.20;
• And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$509.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match St Pauli x TSG Hoffenheim

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 St Pauli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Pauli x TSG Hoffenheim

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 St Pauli, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 St Pauli.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 TSG Hoffenheim.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Pauli x TSG Hoffenheim

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.