St Pauli x Werder Bremen Betting tips for December 14 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for St Pauli x Werder Bremen, Saturday, 14/12/2024

📅 14/12/2024 17:30

St Pauli 2.60

X 3.47

Werder Bremen 2.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for St Pauli x Werder Bremen:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for St Pauli x Werder Bremen

Some important points for the tip for St Pauli x Werder Bremen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on St Pauli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-333.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $255.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Werder Bremen, St Pauli scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 St Pauli has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Werder Bremen playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on St Pauli x Werder Bremen?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on St Pauli x Werder Bremen:

Analysis from St Pauli x Werder Bremen for the Germany Bundesliga I – 14 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for St Pauli x Werder Bremen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1236358 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for St Pauli x Werder Bremen

Is betting on St Pauli worth it?

🔵 St Pauli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $544.00;
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$116.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.47. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $642.20;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$97.80.

Is betting on Werder Bremen worth it?

🔴 Werder Bremen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $640.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$40.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match St Pauli x Werder Bremen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 St Pauli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Pauli x Werder Bremen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 St Pauli, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 St Pauli.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Werder Bremen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Pauli x Werder Bremen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.