TSG Hoffenheim x Augsburg Betting tips for March 29 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Augsburg, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025
14:30

TSG Hoffenheim
2.26

X
3.30

Augsburg

3.07

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for TSG Hoffenheim x Augsburg:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com

The main points for the tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Augsburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on TSG Hoffenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Augsburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $690.0.
👉 Augsburg did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Augsburg, TSG Hoffenheim scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, TSG Hoffenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Augsburg has not lost any of them.
👉 TSG Hoffenheim has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Augsburg.

Summary

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Analysis from TSG Hoffenheim x Augsburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 29 of March

🏟️ TSG Hoffenheim X Augsburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 29 of March, 2025 – 14:30
🔵 TSG Hoffenheim – Winning probability: 38.43% | Fair line: 2.6
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.23% | Fair line: 3.1
🔴 Augsburg – Winning probability: 29.34% | Fair line: 3.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 TSG Hoffenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on TSG Hoffenheim x Augsburg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1290777 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for TSG Hoffenheim x Augsburg

Is it worth betting on TSG Hoffenheim?

🔵 TSG Hoffenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 380 times – profiting $478.80;
And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$141.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $736.00
And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$56.00.

Is betting on Augsburg worth it?

🔴 Augsburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $600.30;
And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$109.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match TSG Hoffenheim x Augsburg

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 TSG Hoffenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for TSG Hoffenheim x Augsburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 TSG Hoffenheim and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 TSG Hoffenheim.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Augsburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for TSG Hoffenheim x Augsburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.