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Home ยป Predictions ยป TSG Hoffenheim x Bochum Betting tips for October 19 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 13h30 Germany Bundesliga I
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
PREDICTION TSG Hoffenheim wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
Bochum Bochum
ODD: @1.69 Don't miss this prediction!

TSG Hoffenheim x Bochum Betting tips for October 19 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Bochum, Saturday, 19/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/10/2024
13:30
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
1.69
X
4.05
Bochum Bochum
4.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for TSG Hoffenheim x Bochum:

๐Ÿ”ฎ TSG Hoffenheim wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on TSG Hoffenheim, you can win up to $845.00!

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The main points for the tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Bochum:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on TSG Hoffenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bochum in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, TSG Hoffenheim scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bochum scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Bochum, TSG Hoffenheim scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Bochum matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between TSG Hoffenheim x Bochum, with TSG Hoffenheim as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Bochum conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, TSG Hoffenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Bochum.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Bochum as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from TSG Hoffenheim x Bochum for the Germany Bundesliga I – 19 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ TSG Hoffenheim X Bochum – Germany Bundesliga I
๐Ÿ“… 19 of October, 2024 – 13:30
๐Ÿ”ต TSG Hoffenheim – Winning probability: 73.90% | Fair line: 1.35
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.66% | Fair line: 8.58
๐Ÿ”ด Bochum – Winning probability: 14.45% | Fair line: 6.92
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 TSG Hoffenheim
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on TSG Hoffenheim x Bochum is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1203336 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for TSG Hoffenheim x Bochum

Is betting on TSG Hoffenheim worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต TSG Hoffenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.69. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – profiting $510.60;
  • And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$250.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $366.00
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$514.00.

Is it worth betting on Bochum?

๐Ÿ”ด Bochum: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $490.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$370.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match TSG Hoffenheim x Bochum

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 TSG Hoffenheim
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for TSG Hoffenheim x Bochum

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 TSG Hoffenheim, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 TSG Hoffenheim.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for TSG Hoffenheim x Bochum

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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