TSG Hoffenheim x Mainz Betting tips for April 12 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Mainz, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 13:30

TSG Hoffenheim 2.88

X 3.49

Mainz 2.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Mainz:

🔮 Mainz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mainz, you can win up to $1150.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for TSG Hoffenheim x Mainz: 👉 If you had bet $100 on TSG Hoffenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $385.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, TSG Hoffenheim scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Mainz scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 TSG Hoffenheim matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Mainz matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, TSG Hoffenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Mainz conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, TSG Hoffenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Mainz.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on TSG Hoffenheim x Mainz?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on TSG Hoffenheim x Mainz, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from TSG Hoffenheim x Mainz for the Germany Bundesliga I – 12 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between TSG Hoffenheim and Mainz.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1301346 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for TSG Hoffenheim x Mainz

Is it a good idea to bet on TSG Hoffenheim?

🔵 TSG Hoffenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $620.40;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$49.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $622.50;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$127.50.

Is betting on Mainz worth it?

🔴 Mainz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $533.00;
• And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$57.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match TSG Hoffenheim x Mainz

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 TSG Hoffenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for TSG Hoffenheim x Mainz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 TSG Hoffenheim and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 TSG Hoffenheim.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for TSG Hoffenheim x Mainz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.