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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » TSG Hoffenheim x SC Freiburg Betting tips for December 8 in Germany Bundesliga I
Sunday, 08 December 2024, 16h30 Germany Bundesliga I
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
PREDICTION TSG Hoffenheim wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
ODD: @2.5 Don't miss this prediction!

TSG Hoffenheim x SC Freiburg Betting tips for December 8 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for TSG Hoffenheim x SC Freiburg, Sunday, 8/12/2024
📅 8/12/2024
16:30
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
2.50
X
3.45
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
2.62

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for TSG Hoffenheim x SC Freiburg:

🔮 TSG Hoffenheim wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on TSG Hoffenheim, you can win up to $1250.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for TSG Hoffenheim x SC Freiburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on TSG Hoffenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Freiburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, TSG Hoffenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on TSG Hoffenheim x SC Freiburg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on TSG Hoffenheim x SC Freiburg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from TSG Hoffenheim x SC Freiburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 8 of December

🏟️ TSG Hoffenheim X SC Freiburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 8 of December, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 TSG Hoffenheim – Winning probability: 49.13% | Fair line: 2.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.68% | Fair line: 4.22
🔴 SC Freiburg – Winning probability: 27.19% | Fair line: 3.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 TSG Hoffenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for TSG Hoffenheim x SC Freiburg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233707 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for TSG Hoffenheim x SC Freiburg

Is betting on TSG Hoffenheim worth it?

🔵 TSG Hoffenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $735.00
  • And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$225.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $588.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$172.00.

Should you bet on SC Freiburg?

🔴 SC Freiburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $437.40
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$292.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match TSG Hoffenheim x SC Freiburg

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 TSG Hoffenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for TSG Hoffenheim x SC Freiburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 TSG Hoffenheim, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 TSG Hoffenheim.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 TSG Hoffenheim.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for TSG Hoffenheim x SC Freiburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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