TSG Hoffenheim x St Pauli Betting tips for November 2 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for TSG Hoffenheim x St Pauli, Saturday, 2/11/2024

📅 2/11/2024 14:30

TSG Hoffenheim 1.90

X 3.90

St Pauli 3.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for TSG Hoffenheim x St Pauli:

🔮 St Pauli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on St Pauli, you can win up to $1800.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for TSG Hoffenheim x St Pauli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on TSG Hoffenheim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $15.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on St Pauli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, TSG Hoffenheim scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, St Pauli scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 St Pauli matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, St Pauli conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 TSG Hoffenheim is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 It is not a good time for St Pauli as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on TSG Hoffenheim x St Pauli?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on TSG Hoffenheim x St Pauli, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from TSG Hoffenheim x St Pauli for the Germany Bundesliga I – 2 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for TSG Hoffenheim x St Pauli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213968 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for TSG Hoffenheim x St Pauli

Is betting on TSG Hoffenheim worth it?

🔵 TSG Hoffenheim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $387.00
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$183.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $522.00;
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$298.00.

Is it worth betting on St Pauli?

🔴 St Pauli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $1014.00
• And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$404.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match TSG Hoffenheim x St Pauli

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 TSG Hoffenheim
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for TSG Hoffenheim x St Pauli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 TSG Hoffenheim, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 TSG Hoffenheim.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 St Pauli.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for TSG Hoffenheim x St Pauli

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.