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Home Β» Predictions Β» Bundesliga 1 Β» Union Berlin x Bochum Betting tips for December 14 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 14 December 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Union Berlin Union Berlin
PREDICTION No tip
Bochum Bochum
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Union Berlin x Bochum Betting tips for December 14 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Union Berlin x Bochum, Saturday, 14/12/2024
πŸ“… 14/12/2024
14:30
Union Berlin Union Berlin
1.57
X
4.00
Bochum Bochum
5.68

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Union Berlin x Bochum:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Union Berlin x Bochum

Important information for your tip for Union Berlin x Bochum:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Union Berlin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $35.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bochum in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bochum, Union Berlin scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Bochum conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Union Berlin conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Bochum.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Bochum as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Union Berlin x Bochum?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Union Berlin x Bochum, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Union Berlin x Bochum for the Germany Bundesliga I – 14 of December

🏟️ Union Berlin X Bochum – Germany Bundesliga I
πŸ“… 14 of December, 2024 – 14:30
πŸ”΅ Union Berlin – Winning probability: 66.50% | Fair line: 1.5
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.55% | Fair line: 3.77
πŸ”΄ Bochum – Winning probability: 6.96% | Fair line: 14.37
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Union Berlin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Union Berlin and Bochum.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1236358 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Union Berlin x Bochum

Should you bet on Union Berlin?

πŸ”΅ Union Berlin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $376.20
  • And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$36.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $810.00
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$80.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Bochum?

πŸ”΄ Bochum: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $327.60;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$602.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Union Berlin x Bochum

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Union Berlin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Berlin x Bochum

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Union Berlin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Union Berlin.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Bochum.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Berlin x Bochum

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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