Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for October 5 in Germany Bundesliga I
📅 5/10/2024 10:30 |
Union Berlin 3.09 |
X 3.50 |
Borussia Dortmund 2.20 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund:
🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Berlin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-124.0. |
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Analysis from Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund for the Germany Bundesliga I – 5 of October
🏟️ Union Berlin X Borussia Dortmund – Germany Bundesliga I |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194677 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund
Is it a good idea to bet on Union Berlin?
🔵 Union Berlin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $522.50;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$227.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $775.00;
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$85.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Borussia Dortmund?
🔴 Borussia Dortmund: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 440 times – profiting $528.00;
- And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$32.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Union Berlin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Union Berlin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Union Berlin.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.