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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for October 5 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 05 October 2024, 10h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Union Berlin Union Berlin
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 30% 1 X 2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for October 5 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund, Saturday, 5/10/2024
📅 5/10/2024
10:30
Union Berlin Union Berlin
3.09
X
3.50
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
2.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

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The main points for the tip for Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Berlin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-124.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-13.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Union Berlin scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund for the Germany Bundesliga I – 5 of October

🏟️ Union Berlin X Borussia Dortmund – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 5 of October, 2024 – 10:30
🔵 Union Berlin – Winning probability: 25.24% | Fair line: 3.96
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.98% | Fair line: 3.23
🔴 Borussia Dortmund – Winning probability: 43.78% | Fair line: 2.28
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Union Berlin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194677 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund

Is it a good idea to bet on Union Berlin?

🔵 Union Berlin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $522.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$227.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $775.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$85.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Borussia Dortmund?

🔴 Borussia Dortmund: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $528.00;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$32.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Union Berlin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Union Berlin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Union Berlin.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Berlin x Borussia Dortmund

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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