Union Berlin x TSG Hoffenheim Betting tips for September 21 in Germany Bundesliga I
| 📅 21/9/2024 10:30 |
 Union Berlin2.20 |
X 3.50 |
TSG Hoffenheim  3.10 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Union Berlin x TSG Hoffenheim:
🔮 Union Berlin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Union Berlin, you can win up to $1100.00!
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The main points for the tip for Union Berlin x TSG Hoffenheim: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Berlin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-119.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Union Berlin x TSG Hoffenheim?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Union Berlin x TSG Hoffenheim, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Union Berlin x TSG Hoffenheim for the Germany Bundesliga I – 21 of September
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🏟️ Union Berlin X TSG Hoffenheim – Germany Bundesliga I |
When the best bet on Union Berlin x TSG Hoffenheim is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1184423 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Union Berlin x TSG Hoffenheim
Is it worth betting on Union Berlin?
🔵 Union Berlin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $732.00;
- And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$342.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $475.00;
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$335.00.
Is betting on TSG Hoffenheim worth it?
🔴 TSG Hoffenheim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $420.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$380.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Union Berlin x TSG Hoffenheim
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Union Berlin
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Berlin x TSG Hoffenheim
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Union Berlin, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Union Berlin.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 TSG Hoffenheim.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Berlin x TSG Hoffenheim
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
