VfB Stuttgart x Bayer Leverkusen Betting tips for May 9 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for VfB Stuttgart x Bayer Leverkusen, Saturday, 9/5/2026

📅 9/5/2026 13:30

VfB Stuttgart 2.06

X 3.90

Bayer Leverkusen 3.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for VfB Stuttgart x Bayer Leverkusen:

🔮 VfB Stuttgart wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on VfB Stuttgart, you can win up to $1030.00!

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Important information for your tip for VfB Stuttgart x Bayer Leverkusen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $40.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $31.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bayer Leverkusen, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, VfB Stuttgart conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Bayer Leverkusen.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Bayer Leverkusen has not lost any of them.

🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen:

⚽ Stuttgart vs Leverkusen (Bundesliga) – MHP Arena
Based on recent numbers, I expect a fairly tight game with a slight edge for Stuttgart in offensive efficiency at home. In the last 5 home matches, Stuttgart has 8 goals scored / 4 conceded, with 3 wins and only 1 loss. Also, in the broader sample (same_any), Stuttgart appears better: 10 for / 8 against, although more balanced.

On the other side, Leverkusen away shows a tendency to be competitive but less dominant: in the last 5 away they have 9 scored / 9 conceded, with only 2 wins and 1 loss. In the same_any sample they are even more balanced: 14 for / 9 against, but with an important detail: there is a high chance of matches without a clear winner (few losses, but they also do not always convert into wins).

📌 Based on these readings + the shots/possession pattern reported (Stuttgart stronger in possession: ~64% vs ~55%, and relatively better expected-goals conversion in the sample), I would estimate fair probabilities as follows:

• Stuttgart win: home_pred_gpt ≈ 0.3836
• Draw: draw_pred_gpt ≈ 0.3167
• Leverkusen win: away_pred_gpt ≈ 0.2997

This yields fair predicted odds by me:

• Stuttgart wins: home_pred_odds_gpt ≈ 2.61
• – Draw – : draw_pred_odds_gpt ≈ 3.16
• – Leverkusen wins – : away_pred_odds_gpt ≈ 3.34

Looking for another bookie to bet on VfB Stuttgart x Bayer Leverkusen?

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Analysis from VfB Stuttgart x Bayer Leverkusen for the Germany Bundesliga I – 9 of May

Latest news on VfB Stuttgart x Bayer Leverkusen

VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart are locked in a tight fight for a Champions League place, level on points with Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen in fourth as the season nears its end. The teams final league match against Eintracht Frankfurt should determine whether they secure the coveted spot. The club is dealing with the suspension of captain Atakan Karazor, who was shown a red card against Hoffenheim on 2 May 2026 and will be out until at least 23 May, when the DFB-Pokal final takes place. In the meantime, head coach Sebastian Hoeneß is relying on key names such as Deniz Undav, Jamie Leweling, who is under contract until 2029, and Bilal El Khannouss. The loan of the player from Leicester City now activates a mandatory purchase option worth €17 million, which will keep him at Stuttgart until 2030. The squad was also bolstered by the signing of Dutch midfielder Ramon Hendriks, who signed until 2028 despite interest from Borussia Dortmund, and by the arrival of former Hoffenheim forward Grischa Prömel to provide more options for the team.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Bayer 04 Leverkusen secured a major contract renewal by extending the deal with Brazilian right-back Arthur until 30 June 2031. The club says the decision will allow the player to help shape the teams future. Additionally, even having recently finished as runners-up, the side continues to build momentum with an important victory that reinforced their pursuit of places in European competitions.

Table analysis for the game between VfB Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen

VfB Stuttgart: Stuttgart arrive for the match in 5th place with 58 points, exactly on the same level as 6th (Hoffenheim) and very close to the upper part of the table. Since Leverkusen are in 4th with 58 as well, the direct confrontation could be important to decide who “catches up”/overtakes in the fight for a European spot — especially because Stuttgart currently have a place in the Europa League, but there is still room to contest positions (and possibly improve the situation) with only a few games left in practice. This is a match that matters much more than “holding position”, because it can reshuffle the battle at the top of the table! ⚽

Bayer Leverkusen: Leverkusen are in 4th with 58 points, also level on points with Stuttgart (5th) and very involved in the continental qualification zone. As the team occupy the immediate slot above in the table, the game against a direct rival tends to be decisive to consolidate the position and secure an advantage in the run-in: it can separate the “stronger” side in the European race based on the result. Additionally, a win could place Leverkusen closer to the top of the standings (since 3rd have 62 points), making the match relevant to keep up the pace in the fight for the best places. 🔥

Summary: It is an important match for both. As Leverkusen (4th) and Stuttgart (5th) have equal points (58) and are well within the range for European qualification, the result is likely to directly affect the standings and the battle for positions.

Odds and handicap movements for VfB Stuttgart x Bayer Leverkusen

Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for VfB Stuttgart x Bayer Leverkusen (1X2, handicap and goals).

Tips for the Match Odds market for VfB Stuttgart x Bayer Leverkusen

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for VfB Stuttgart x Bayer Leverkusen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1540969 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is betting on VfB Stuttgart worth it?

🔵 VfB Stuttgart: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.06. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $540.60;
• And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$50.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $638.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$142.00.

Is it worth betting on Bayer Leverkusen?

🔴 Bayer Leverkusen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match VfB Stuttgart x Bayer Leverkusen

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x Bayer Leverkusen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 VfB Stuttgart, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 VfB Stuttgart.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 VfB Stuttgart.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for VfB Stuttgart x Bayer Leverkusen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for VfB Stuttgart x Bayer Leverkusen