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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » VfB Stuttgart x Holstein Kiel Betting tips for October 26 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 13h30 Germany Bundesliga I
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
PREDICTION VfB Stuttgart wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
ODD: @1.26 Don't miss this prediction!

VfB Stuttgart x Holstein Kiel Betting tips for October 26 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for VfB Stuttgart x Holstein Kiel, Saturday, 26/10/2024
📅 26/10/2024
13:30
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
1.26
X
6.00
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
9.63

Our algorithm has selected this tip for VfB Stuttgart x Holstein Kiel:

🔮 VfB Stuttgart wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on VfB Stuttgart, you can win up to $630.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for VfB Stuttgart x Holstein Kiel:

👉 If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Holstein Kiel in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-325.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Holstein Kiel scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 VfB Stuttgart matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Holstein Kiel matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, VfB Stuttgart conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Holstein Kiel conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on VfB Stuttgart x Holstein Kiel?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on VfB Stuttgart x Holstein Kiel, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from VfB Stuttgart x Holstein Kiel for the Germany Bundesliga I – 26 of October

🏟️ VfB Stuttgart X Holstein Kiel – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 26 of October, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 VfB Stuttgart – Winning probability: 93.63% | Fair line: 1.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.24% | Fair line: 23.61
🔴 Holstein Kiel – Winning probability: 2.13% | Fair line: 46.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on VfB Stuttgart x Holstein Kiel is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1208521 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x Holstein Kiel

Should you bet on VfB Stuttgart?

🔵 VfB Stuttgart: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 93.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 940 times – having a profit of $244.40;
  • And would have lost other 60 times – with a loss of -$60.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$184.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $200.00
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$760.00.

Is betting on Holstein Kiel worth it?

🔴 Holstein Kiel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $172.60;
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$807.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match VfB Stuttgart x Holstein Kiel

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x Holstein Kiel

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 VfB Stuttgart, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 VfB Stuttgart.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 VfB Stuttgart.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for VfB Stuttgart x Holstein Kiel

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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