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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » VfB Stuttgart x St Pauli Betting tips for December 21 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 21 December 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
PREDICTION VfB Stuttgart wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
St Pauli St Pauli
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

VfB Stuttgart x St Pauli Betting tips for December 21 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for VfB Stuttgart x St Pauli, Saturday, 21/12/2024
📅 21/12/2024
14:30
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
1.50
X
4.50
St Pauli St Pauli
5.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for VfB Stuttgart x St Pauli:

🔮 VfB Stuttgart wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on VfB Stuttgart, you can win up to $750.00!

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Important information for your tip for VfB Stuttgart x St Pauli:

👉 If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-62.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on St Pauli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, St Pauli conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 VfB Stuttgart is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from VfB Stuttgart x St Pauli for the Germany Bundesliga I – 21 of December

🏟️ VfB Stuttgart X St Pauli – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 21 of December, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 VfB Stuttgart – Winning probability: 79.52% | Fair line: 1.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.71% | Fair line: 7.87
🔴 St Pauli – Winning probability: 7.78% | Fair line: 12.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between VfB Stuttgart and St Pauli.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1238880 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x St Pauli

Is it a good idea to bet on VfB Stuttgart?

🔵 VfB Stuttgart: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 79.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 800 times – having a profit of $400.00;
  • And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $455.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$415.00.

Is betting on St Pauli worth it?

🔴 St Pauli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $392.00
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$528.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match VfB Stuttgart x St Pauli

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x St Pauli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 VfB Stuttgart and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 VfB Stuttgart.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 VfB Stuttgart.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for VfB Stuttgart x St Pauli

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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