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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » VfB Stuttgart x TSG Hoffenheim Betting tips for October 6 in Germany Bundesliga I
Sunday, 06 October 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
PREDICTION TSG Hoffenheim Wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
ODD: @7.5 Don't miss this prediction!

VfB Stuttgart x TSG Hoffenheim Betting tips for October 6 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for VfB Stuttgart x TSG Hoffenheim, Sunday, 6/10/2024
📅 6/10/2024
14:30
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
1.33
X
5.80
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
7.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for VfB Stuttgart x TSG Hoffenheim:

🔮 TSG Hoffenheim wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on TSG Hoffenheim, you can win up to $3750.00!

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The main points for the tip for VfB Stuttgart x TSG Hoffenheim:

👉 If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on TSG Hoffenheim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, TSG Hoffenheim scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against TSG Hoffenheim, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, VfB Stuttgart conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, TSG Hoffenheim conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, VfB Stuttgart conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against TSG Hoffenheim.

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Summary

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Analysis from VfB Stuttgart x TSG Hoffenheim for the Germany Bundesliga I – 6 of October

🏟️ VfB Stuttgart X TSG Hoffenheim – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 6 of October, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 VfB Stuttgart – Winning probability: 23.36% | Fair line: 4.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.44% | Fair line: 8.74
🔴 TSG Hoffenheim – Winning probability: 65.20% | Fair line: 1.53
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on VfB Stuttgart x TSG Hoffenheim is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1195226 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x TSG Hoffenheim

Should you bet on VfB Stuttgart?

🔵 VfB Stuttgart: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $75.90;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$694.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $528.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$362.00.

Is it worth betting on TSG Hoffenheim?

🔴 TSG Hoffenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $4225.00;
  • And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$3875.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match VfB Stuttgart x TSG Hoffenheim

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x TSG Hoffenheim

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 VfB Stuttgart, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 VfB Stuttgart.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 VfB Stuttgart.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for VfB Stuttgart x TSG Hoffenheim

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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