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Home ยป Predictions ยป Bundesliga 1 ยป Werder Bremen x Bayer Leverkusen Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Bundesliga I
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
PREDICTION Bayer Leverkusen Wins Probability 83% 1 X 2
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
ODD: @1.45 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Werder Bremen x Bayer Leverkusen Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Werder Bremen x Bayer Leverkusen, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
14:30
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
5.80
X
4.99
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
1.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Werder Bremen x Bayer Leverkusen:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bayer Leverkusen wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayer Leverkusen, you can win up to $725.00!

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Important information for your tip for Werder Bremen x Bayer Leverkusen:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $288.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $238.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Werder Bremen scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Bayer Leverkusen has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Werder Bremen x Bayer Leverkusen

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Summary

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Analysis from Werder Bremen x Bayer Leverkusen for the Germany Bundesliga I – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Werder Bremen X Bayer Leverkusen – Germany Bundesliga I
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:30
๐Ÿ”ต Werder Bremen – Winning probability: 3.73% | Fair line: 26.8
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.62% | Fair line: 7.92
๐Ÿ”ด Bayer Leverkusen – Winning probability: 83.65% | Fair line: 1.2
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Werder Bremen
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Werder Bremen x Bayer Leverkusen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Werder Bremen x Bayer Leverkusen

Is betting on Werder Bremen worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Werder Bremen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $192.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$768.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $518.70;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$351.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bayer Leverkusen?

๐Ÿ”ด Bayer Leverkusen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 840 times – profiting $378.00;
  • And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$218.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Werder Bremen x Bayer Leverkusen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Werder Bremen
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Werder Bremen x Bayer Leverkusen

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Werder Bremen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Werder Bremen. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Werder Bremen x Bayer Leverkusen

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves