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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Werder Bremen x Holstein Kiel Betting tips for November 9 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
PREDICTION Werder Bremen wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

Werder Bremen x Holstein Kiel Betting tips for November 9 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Werder Bremen x Holstein Kiel, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
14:30
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
1.57
X
4.50
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
5.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Werder Bremen x Holstein Kiel:

🔮 Werder Bremen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Werder Bremen, you can win up to $785.00!

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The main points for the tip for Werder Bremen x Holstein Kiel:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Holstein Kiel in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 Holstein Kiel matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Werder Bremen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Holstein Kiel conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Werder Bremen x Holstein Kiel for the Germany Bundesliga I – 9 of November

🏟️ Werder Bremen X Holstein Kiel – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 Werder Bremen – Winning probability: 71.33% | Fair line: 1.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.48% | Fair line: 6.46
🔴 Holstein Kiel – Winning probability: 13.19% | Fair line: 7.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Werder Bremen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Werder Bremen x Holstein Kiel is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218440 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Werder Bremen x Holstein Kiel

Is it a good idea to bet on Werder Bremen?

🔵 Werder Bremen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – profiting $404.70;
  • And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$114.70.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$325.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Holstein Kiel?

🔴 Holstein Kiel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$350.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Werder Bremen x Holstein Kiel

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Werder Bremen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Werder Bremen x Holstein Kiel

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Werder Bremen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Werder Bremen.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Werder Bremen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Werder Bremen x Holstein Kiel

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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