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Home ยป Predictions ยป Bundesliga 1 ยป Werder Bremen x Mainz Betting tips for January 31 in Germany Bundesliga I
Friday, 31 January 2025, 19h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Mainz Mainz
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Werder Bremen x Mainz Betting tips for January 31 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Werder Bremen x Mainz, Friday, 31/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 31/1/2025
19:30
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
2.30
X
3.50
Mainz Mainz
2.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Werder Bremen x Mainz:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

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The main points for the tip for Werder Bremen x Mainz:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $85.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Werder Bremen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Mainz conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Werder Bremen x Mainz?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Werder Bremen x Mainz, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Werder Bremen x Mainz for the Germany Bundesliga I โ€“ 31 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Werder Bremen X Mainz โ€“ Germany Bundesliga I
๐Ÿ“… 31 of January, 2025 โ€“ 19:30
๐Ÿ”ต Werder Bremen โ€“ Winning probability: 39.29% | Fair line: 2.55
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 34.11% | Fair line: 2.93
๐Ÿ”ด Mainz โ€“ Winning probability: 26.60% | Fair line: 3.76
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: 0.0 Werder Bremen
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Werder Bremen x Mainz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1254219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Werder Bremen x Mainz

Is it a good idea to bet on Werder Bremen?

๐Ÿ”ต Werder Bremen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times โ€“ having a profit of $507.00;
  • And would lose other 610 times โ€“ having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$103.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times โ€“ profiting $850.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times โ€“ with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$190.00.

Should you bet on Mainz?

๐Ÿ”ด Mainz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times โ€“ having a profit of $513.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times โ€“ with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$217.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Werder Bremen x Mainz

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: 0.0 Werder Bremen
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Werder Bremen x Mainz

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Werder Bremen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Werder Bremen.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1ร—2 is on: 0.25 Mainz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Werder Bremen x Mainz

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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