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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Werder Bremen x SC Freiburg Betting tips for October 5 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 05 October 2024, 10h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
ODD: @3.58 Don't miss this prediction!

Werder Bremen x SC Freiburg Betting tips for October 5 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Werder Bremen x SC Freiburg, Saturday, 5/10/2024
📅 5/10/2024
10:30
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
2.57
X
3.58
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
2.55

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Werder Bremen x SC Freiburg:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1790.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Werder Bremen x SC Freiburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Freiburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Werder Bremen x SC Freiburg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Werder Bremen x SC Freiburg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Werder Bremen x SC Freiburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 5 of October

🏟️ Werder Bremen X SC Freiburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 5 of October, 2024 – 10:30
🔵 Werder Bremen – Winning probability: 34.48% | Fair line: 2.9
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.86% | Fair line: 3.04
🔴 SC Freiburg – Winning probability: 32.66% | Fair line: 3.06
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Werder Bremen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Werder Bremen x SC Freiburg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194677 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Werder Bremen x SC Freiburg

Should you bet on Werder Bremen?

🔵 Werder Bremen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $533.80;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$126.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $851.40
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$181.40.

Is it worth betting on SC Freiburg?

🔴 SC Freiburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $511.50;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$158.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Werder Bremen x SC Freiburg

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Werder Bremen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Werder Bremen x SC Freiburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Werder Bremen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Werder Bremen.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Werder Bremen x SC Freiburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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