Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim Betting tips for January 27 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim, Tuesday, 27/1/2026

📅 27/1/2026 19:30

Werder Bremen 2.90

X 3.70

TSG Hoffenheim 2.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim

The main points for the tip for Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on TSG Hoffenheim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Werder Bremen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Werder Bremen conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against TSG Hoffenheim.
👉 Even as a visitor, TSG Hoffenheim won the last 5 head-to-head matches Werder Bremen´s territory

🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Lets analyze the match between Werder Bremen and TSG Hoffenheim at Weserstadion, home of Werder Bremen. The stadium is known for its traditional atmosphere and strong fan support, which can be a positive factor for the home team.

Statistically, Werder Bremen has shown recent difficulties: they scored an average of 1 goal per game at home in the last 5 matches but conceded 2 goals per game. Additionally, in recent Bundesliga matches, they havent won any (0 wins), with 3 losses and 2 draws. Hoffenheim, on the other hand, has better performance away and overall in the league: they scored an average of 1 goal per away game and conceded only 1 goal; they also won 4 of the last 5 league matches without losing.

The median odds indicate favoritism for Hoffenheim (2.2) against higher odds for Werder Bremen victory (2.87) and a draw (3.7). Converting these odds into normalized implied probabilities gives approximately: home win ~33%, draw ~27%, away win ~40%.

Considering recent offensive/defensive stats, current team form, and the stadium advantage for Werder Bremen, I would estimate fair probabilities close to:

• Werder Bremen win: about 30%
• Draw: about 25%
• Hoffenheim win: about 45%

The fair odds for the visiting team’s victory would then be around ~2.22; for the home team around ~3.33; and for a draw around ~4.

Based on the final market odds, the expected value of bets are:

• Bet on Hoffenheim has a positive expected value (~8.55%), confirming their favoritism;
• Bets on the draw or home win have negative expected value;

📰 Important news:
Werder Bremen is fighting against relegation with low morale despite recent reactions in an exciting draw against Eintracht Frankfurt; rumors about reinforcements may help later but uncertainties remain.
Hoffenheim, on the other hand, is on a winning streak with three consecutive victories, showing quick offensive strength after recent matches — this reinforces their favored status in this game.

📈 Tactical/moral analysis:
Poor league position weighs against Werder, who desperately needs points but faces evident defensive issues; meanwhile, Hoffenheim is on an upward phase, seeking to consolidate a higher position in the table with high confidence — this should directly influence the final result in favor of the visitors.

Final suggestion:
I fully agree with the bet suggested by the Bets Kenya model, which indicates positive value only for Hoffenheim (@2.20). Despite the local pressure on the home team, current stats combined with recent form clearly favor the visitors.
Bet on Hoffenheim! 🚀 Calculated expected value: +8.55% 💰

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim for the Germany Bundesliga I – 27 of January

Latest news on Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim

Werder Bremen: Werder Bremen is still fighting against relegation in the 2025/26 Bundesliga, with coach Horst Steffen maintaining a cautious tone despite their precarious position in the table; after losing 2-0, they responded to draw 3-3 against Eintracht Frankfurt in matchday 18, with Knauff securing the draw in the final minutes, while rumors circulate about Samuel Mbangula potentially returning to the starting lineup and Romano Schmids role, and Steffen dismissed talk of “brandstimmung” within the group, insisting the team remains focused on earning points.

TSG Hoffenheim: TSG Hoffenheim maintains a strong streak in the Bundesliga, achieving their third consecutive victory and turning a match against Frankfurt by scoring three goals in just 13 minutes after halftime, with defender Ozan Kabak highlighted for his impactful performance; the club also confirmed the season loan of 24-year-old defender Arthur Chaves to FC Augsburg, with an option to buy around €6 million, and is actively pursuing reinforcements such as striker Alessandro Vogt from St. Gallen and midfielder Mirza Catovic from VfB Stuttgart, extending the contract of key midfielder Grischa Prömel amid external interest and noting that Dennis Geiger has received several offers from abroad.

Table analysis for the match between Werder Bremen and TSG Hoffenheim

Werder Bremen: Werder Bremen is in 15th place, very close to the relegation zone, with 18 points. With this position, the team desperately needs points to move away from the danger area and avoid the relegation playoff to stay in the top division. The match against TSG Hoffenheim is crucial to try to spark a reaction and ensure more security in the standings, avoiding greater pressure in the final rounds.

TSG Hoffenheim: TSG Hoffenheim is in 3rd place, with 36 points, in the Champions League qualification zone. The team is on a great run, and a positive result is important to maintain or even improve their position in the table, securing a direct spot in the most coveted European competition. The match is highly relevant to stay firmly in the fight for the top spots.

Summary: This matchup is very important for both teams, but for different reasons: while Werder Bremen fights against relegation, Hoffenheim fights to secure a Champions League spot. It’s a game with high stakes and impact on the season for both sides. ⚽🔥

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim

Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim (1X2, handicap and goals).

Tips for the 1×2 market for Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Werder Bremen and TSG Hoffenheim.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1469537 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it a good idea to bet on Werder Bremen?

🔵 Werder Bremen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $437.00
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$333.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $756.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$36.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on TSG Hoffenheim?

🔴 TSG Hoffenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$78.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Werder Bremen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Werder Bremen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Werder Bremen.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Werder Bremen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Werder Bremen x TSG Hoffenheim