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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Werder Bremen x Union Berlin Betting tips for December 21 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 21 December 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
PREDICTION Werder Bremen wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Union Berlin Union Berlin
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Werder Bremen x Union Berlin Betting tips for December 21 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Werder Bremen x Union Berlin, Saturday, 21/12/2024
📅 21/12/2024
14:30
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
2.10
X
3.50
Union Berlin Union Berlin
3.26

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Werder Bremen x Union Berlin:

🔮 Werder Bremen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Werder Bremen, you can win up to $1050.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Werder Bremen x Union Berlin:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Berlin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Werder Bremen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Union Berlin conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Union Berlin as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Werder Bremen x Union Berlin?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Werder Bremen x Union Berlin for the Germany Bundesliga I – 21 of December

🏟️ Werder Bremen X Union Berlin – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 21 of December, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 Werder Bremen – Winning probability: 62.90% | Fair line: 1.59
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.78% | Fair line: 5.06
🔴 Union Berlin – Winning probability: 17.32% | Fair line: 5.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Werder Bremen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Werder Bremen x Union Berlin is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1238880 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Werder Bremen x Union Berlin

Is betting on Werder Bremen worth it?

🔵 Werder Bremen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $693.00;
  • And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$323.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $500.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$300.00.

Is it worth betting on Union Berlin?

🔴 Union Berlin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $384.20;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$445.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Werder Bremen x Union Berlin

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Werder Bremen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Werder Bremen x Union Berlin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Werder Bremen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Werder Bremen.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Werder Bremen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Werder Bremen x Union Berlin

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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