Wolfsburg x Augsburg Betting tips for February 21 in Germany Bundesliga I
| 📅 21/2/2026 14:30 |
 Wolfsburg2.05 |
X 3.32 |
Augsburg  3.54 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Wolfsburg x Augsburg:
🔮 Wolfsburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wolfsburg, you can win up to $1025.00!
Important information for your tip for Wolfsburg x Augsburg:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolfsburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Augsburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1200.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Augsburg, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Wolfsburg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Augsburg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Wolfsburg conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Augsburg.
🤖 Critical analysis from ChatGPT on our prediction for Wolfsburg vs Augsburg:
Lets analyze the match between Wolfsburg and Augsburg at the Volkswagen Arena, which is Wolfsburgs usual stadium, ensuring the home advantage for them. 🏟️
📈 Looking at recent statistics, Wolfsburg has a mixed performance at home: scored 8 goals and conceded 9 in the last 5 home games, with only 1 win and 2 draws in that period. Augsburg away scored little (2 goals) but conceded quite a lot (11 goals), despite a recent away win. The average ball possession clearly favors Wolfsburg (55% vs. 46%), indicating greater control of the game when playing at their stadium.
📰 Recent news reports indicate Wolfsburg strengthened their defense with the loan signing of full-back Jeanuel Belocian and have striker Lineth Beerensteyn close to the end of her contract — this could impact team motivation to secure good results before her potential departure. Additionally, goalkeeper Lena Popp is sidelined due to infection, which may affect defensive security. On the other hand, Augsburg lost their forward Samuel Essende to a future transfer; this could reduce their offensive power.
Analyzing the median odds provided by betting houses: Wolfsburg win (2.05), draw (3.34), Augsburg win (3.52). Converting these odds into normalized implied probabilities gives approximately: 48% chance for Wolfsburg victory, 15% draw, 37% Augsburg victory. Considering the statistical data — especially the better game control and attacking advantage of the home team — my adjusted estimate would be close to this or even slightly more favorable to Wolfsburg due to the home factor.
Calculating fair odds considering tactical context and news suggests that fair odds for Wolfsburg victory should be near or slightly below current odds (~2.0), while a draw might be undervalued (~3.5), given the defensive balance of the teams; Augsburgs victory seems overestimated (~3.6) as they still concede many goals despite recent good away form.
The expected value analysis indicates that betting on Augsburgs victory does not offer a sufficiently positive expected value (<5%), while betting on Wolfsburg has higher potential even with final odds slightly above my fair estimates.
Final suggestion: Bet on Wolfsburg victory, taking advantage of the strong home factor combined with recent defensive signings and the offensive fragility of the visitors evidenced by recent statistics.
Expected value around +7%, indicating a bet with good potential return relative to the risk! ⚽💰
Analysis of Bets Kenya model:
The model suggests positive value only on the away victory bet (+2.8%), but I disagree with this indication because the data show clear vulnerability in the visiting teams defense away from their home ground, plus unfavorable news regarding the imminent departure of an important offensive player.
Therefore, I believe my analysis provides a more aligned view with the current real conditions of the teams!
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Analysis from Wolfsburg x Augsburg for the Germany Bundesliga I – 21 of February
🏟️ Wolfsburg X Augsburg – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 21 of February, 2026 – 14:30
🔵 Wolfsburg – Winning probability: 53.13% | Fair line: 1.88
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.53% | Fair line: 3.92
🔴 Augsburg – Winning probability: 21.34% | Fair line: 4.69
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Wolfsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
The latest news about Wolfsburg x Augsburg
VfL Wolfsburg: The womens team of VfL Wolfsburg recently secured a 2-0 victory over Juventus in the Champions League, while in the Bundesliga they drew 1-1 against SGS Essen; the club strengthened its defense with the loan signing of left-back Jeanuel Belocian from Bayer Leverkusen until the end of the season, and forward Lineth Beerensteyn is nearing the end of her contract in summer and has not yet decided her future, while goalkeeper Lena Popp is currently sidelined due to an infection.
FC Augsburg: FC Augsburg confirmed that striker Samuel Essende will leave the club at the end of the season, transferring to Swiss team BSC Young Boys for a reported fee of €3.75 million, plus €1 million in potential bonuses.
Germany Bundesliga I table analysis for Wolfsburg x Augsburg
Wolfsburg: Wolfsburg is currently in 15th place with 20 points, situated in a dangerous zone close to relegation, which starts at 16th place with 19 points. The team is fighting to avoid direct relegation, so every point gained is crucial to distance themselves from the bottom spots and secure their place in the Bundesliga. This game is important for Wolfsburg to try to get out of this delicate situation and ensure safety in the competition.
Augsburg: Augsburg is in 11th place with 25 points, a bit more comfortable but still far from European competition spots and without much security to finish the season smoothly. With few points advantage over nearby teams, this match is relevant for Augsburg to consolidate their position in the table, avoid relegation, and seek to improve their performance for a calmer season finale.
Summary: This match is important for both teams but with different motivations: Wolfsburg desperately seeks points to escape relegation, while Augsburg wants to establish themselves and move away from danger. An exciting game on the table! ⚽🔥
Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Wolfsburg x Augsburg
Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.
Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Wolfsburg x Augsburg (1X2, handicap and goals).
📊 With a variation of -2.38%, the odds for Wolfsburg are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.1 for Wolfsburg and now the odds are @2.05.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.4 for Draw and now the odds are @3.4.
📊 With a variation of 4.17%, the odds for Augsburg are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.6 for Augsburg and now the odds are @3.75.
📊 The market increased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -0.25 is now at -0.50 for Wolfsburg.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.75 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Wolfsburg x Augsburg
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Wolfsburg and Augsburg.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1483644 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Is it a good idea to bet on Wolfsburg?
🔵 Wolfsburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – profiting $556.50;
- And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$86.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $603.20;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.80.
Is it worth betting on Augsburg?
🔴 Augsburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $533.40
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$256.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Wolfsburg x Augsburg
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Wolfsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wolfsburg x Augsburg
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Wolfsburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Wolfsburg.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Wolfsburg.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wolfsburg x Augsburg
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Wolfsburg x Augsburg
Who is the favourite for Wolfsburg x Augsburg?
From our analysis, the team that comes out as favourite is Wolfsburg, with a win probability of 53.13%. Still, favourite does not guarantee a win!
Who will win: Wolfsburg or Augsburg?
It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that Wolfsburg is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 53.13%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!
What are the chances of Wolfsburg beating Augsburg today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Wolfsburg would win about 53 of those against Augsburg.
What are the chances of Augsburg beating Wolfsburg today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Augsburg would win about 21 of those versus Wolfsburg.
Which team should I bet on: Wolfsburg or Augsburg?
A successful bettor looks for positive expected value opportunities. Based on our analysis, we believe the best bet for this match is: Wolfsburg wins, with a positive expected value of 9.04%. Bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: avoid staking more than 2% of your funds!
How much is Wolfsburg paying today? See what you can win by betting on Wolfsburg x Augsburg:
The average odds for Wolfsburg to beat Augsburg today are 2.05. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2050.00 if Wolfsburg wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
How much is Augsburg paying today? See what you can win by betting on Wolfsburg x Augsburg:
The average odds for Augsburg to beat Wolfsburg today are 3.54. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh3540.00 if Augsburg wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
