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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for December 22 in Germany Bundesliga I
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 16h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
PREDICTION Wolfsburg wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
ODD: @3.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for December 22 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
16:30
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
3.05
X
3.74
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
2.14

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund:

🔮 Wolfsburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wolfsburg, you can win up to $1525.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolfsburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $418.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Borussia Dortmund scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Borussia Dortmund, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund, with Wolfsburg as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Wolfsburg is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Wolfsburg has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Borussia Dortmund playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund for the Germany Bundesliga I – 22 of December

🏟️ Wolfsburg X Borussia Dortmund – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 Wolfsburg – Winning probability: 53.79% | Fair line: 1.86
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.77% | Fair line: 8.49
🔴 Borussia Dortmund – Winning probability: 34.44% | Fair line: 2.9
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Wolfsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1238880 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

Is it a good idea to bet on Wolfsburg?

🔵 Wolfsburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $1107.00;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$647.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $328.80;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$551.20.

Is betting on Borussia Dortmund worth it?

🔴 Borussia Dortmund: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $387.60;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$272.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Wolfsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Wolfsburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Wolfsburg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Wolfsburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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