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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Wolfsburg x Borussia Mgladbach Betting tips for January 14 in Germany Bundesliga I
Tuesday, 14 January 2025, 19h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
PREDICTION Wolfsburg wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Borussia Mgladbach Borussia Mgladbach
ODD: @1.99 Don't miss this prediction!

Wolfsburg x Borussia Mgladbach Betting tips for January 14 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Wolfsburg x Borussia Mgladbach, Tuesday, 14/1/2025
📅 14/1/2025
19:30
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
1.99
X
3.80
Borussia Mgladbach Borussia Mgladbach
3.45

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Wolfsburg x Borussia Mgladbach:

🔮 Wolfsburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wolfsburg, you can win up to $995.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Wolfsburg x Borussia Mgladbach:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolfsburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $128.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Mgladbach in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Borussia Mgladbach, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Wolfsburg matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg x Borussia Mgladbach, with Wolfsburg as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Wolfsburg conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Borussia Mgladbach.

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Summary

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Analysis from Wolfsburg x Borussia Mgladbach for the Germany Bundesliga I – 14 of January

🏟️ Wolfsburg X Borussia Mgladbach – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 14 of January, 2025 – 19:30
🔵 Wolfsburg – Winning probability: 54.20% | Fair line: 1.84
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.14% | Fair line: 4.14
🔴 Borussia Mgladbach – Winning probability: 21.66% | Fair line: 4.62
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Wolfsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Wolfsburg x Borussia Mgladbach is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1245823 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Wolfsburg x Borussia Mgladbach

Is it a good idea to bet on Wolfsburg?

🔵 Wolfsburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $534.60
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$74.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$88.00.

Should you bet on Borussia Mgladbach?

🔴 Borussia Mgladbach: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $539.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$241.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Wolfsburg x Borussia Mgladbach

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Wolfsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wolfsburg x Borussia Mgladbach

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Wolfsburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Wolfsburg. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wolfsburg x Borussia Mgladbach

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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