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Home ยป Predictions ยป Bundesliga 1 ยป Wolfsburg x RB Leipzig Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Bundesliga I
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
PREDICTION RB Leipzig Wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Wolfsburg x RB Leipzig Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Wolfsburg x RB Leipzig, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
14:30
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
3.50
X
3.80
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
1.95

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Wolfsburg x RB Leipzig:

๐Ÿ”ฎ RB Leipzig wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on RB Leipzig, you can win up to $975.00!

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Important information for your tip for Wolfsburg x RB Leipzig:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Wolfsburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $365.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-58.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, RB Leipzig conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Wolfsburg x RB Leipzig

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Summary

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Analysis from Wolfsburg x RB Leipzig for the Germany Bundesliga I – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Wolfsburg X RB Leipzig – Germany Bundesliga I
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:30
๐Ÿ”ต Wolfsburg – Winning probability: 14.32% | Fair line: 6.98
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.88% | Fair line: 4.57
๐Ÿ”ด RB Leipzig – Winning probability: 63.80% | Fair line: 1.57
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Wolfsburg
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Wolfsburg x RB Leipzig

Is it worth betting on Wolfsburg?

๐Ÿ”ต Wolfsburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $350.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$510.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $616.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$164.00.

Is betting on RB Leipzig worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด RB Leipzig: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – profiting $608.00;
  • And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$248.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Wolfsburg x RB Leipzig

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Wolfsburg
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wolfsburg x RB Leipzig

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Wolfsburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Wolfsburg.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wolfsburg x RB Leipzig

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves