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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen Betting tips for October 20 in Germany Bundesliga I
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 15h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
PREDICTION Wolfsburg wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen Betting tips for October 20 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen, Sunday, 20/10/2024
📅 20/10/2024
15:30
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
2.05
X
3.54
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
3.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen:

🔮 Wolfsburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wolfsburg, you can win up to $1025.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolfsburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-276.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $261.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Werder Bremen scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Werder Bremen, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Wolfsburg matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 Werder Bremen matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen, with Wolfsburg as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Wolfsburg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Werder Bremen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Wolfsburg conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Werder Bremen.
👉 Wolfsburg has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Werder Bremen playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen for the Germany Bundesliga I – 20 of October

🏟️ Wolfsburg X Werder Bremen – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 20 of October, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 Wolfsburg – Winning probability: 51.86% | Fair line: 1.93
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.58% | Fair line: 4.43
🔴 Werder Bremen – Winning probability: 25.56% | Fair line: 3.91
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Wolfsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1204480 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen

Is betting on Wolfsburg worth it?

🔵 Wolfsburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $546.00;
  • And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$66.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $584.20;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$185.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Werder Bremen?

🔴 Werder Bremen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$116.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Wolfsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Wolfsburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Wolfsburg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Werder Bremen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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