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Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป Arsenal x Shakhtar Donetsk Betting tips for October 22 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 22 October 2024, 19h00 UEFA Champions League
Arsenal Arsenal
PREDICTION Arsenal wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
ODD: @1.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Arsenal x Shakhtar Donetsk Betting tips for October 22 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Arsenal x Shakhtar Donetsk, Tuesday, 22/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 22/10/2024
19:00
Arsenal Arsenal
1.10
X
10.00
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
21.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Arsenal x Shakhtar Donetsk:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Arsenal wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $550.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Arsenal x Shakhtar Donetsk:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $23.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Shakhtar Donetsk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Arsenal scored at least 2.0 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Shakhtar Donetsk matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Arsenal is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Shakhtar Donetsk has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Arsenal x Shakhtar Donetsk?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Arsenal x Shakhtar Donetsk, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Arsenal x Shakhtar Donetsk for the UEFA Champions League – 22 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Arsenal X Shakhtar Donetsk – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 22 of October, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Arsenal – Winning probability: 99.28% | Fair line: 1.01
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.59% | Fair line: 169.41
๐Ÿ”ด Shakhtar Donetsk – Winning probability: 0.13% | Fair line: 751.02
โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Arsenal
โšฝ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Arsenal and Shakhtar Donetsk.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1206527 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arsenal x Shakhtar Donetsk

Should you bet on Arsenal?

๐Ÿ”ต Arsenal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $99.00
  • And would lose other 10 times – losing -$10.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$89.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $90.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$900.00.

Should you bet on Shakhtar Donetsk?

๐Ÿ”ด Shakhtar Donetsk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 21.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$1000.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Shakhtar Donetsk

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Arsenal
โšฝ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Shakhtar Donetsk

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.5 Arsenal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 Arsenal.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 Arsenal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Shakhtar Donetsk

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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