Aston Villa x Bologna Betting tips for October 22 in UEFA Champions League
| 📅 22/10/2024 19:00 |
 Aston Villa1.54 |
X 4.20 |
Bologna  5.60 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Aston Villa x Bologna:
🔮 Aston Villa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aston Villa, you can win up to $770.00!
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Important information for your tip for Aston Villa x Bologna: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $253.0. |
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Analysis from Aston Villa x Bologna for the UEFA Champions League – 22 of October
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🏟️ Aston Villa X Bologna – UEFA Champions League |
When the best bet on Aston Villa x Bologna is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1206527 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Bologna
Should you bet on Aston Villa?
🔵 Aston Villa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $437.40
- And would lose other 190 times – having a loss of -$190.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$247.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $320.00
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$580.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Bologna?
🔴 Bologna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $414.00
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$496.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x Bologna
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Bologna
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Aston Villa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Aston Villa.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Bologna.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x Bologna
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
