Aston Villa x Juventus Betting tips for November 27 in UEFA Champions League
| 📅 27/11/2024 20:00 |
 Aston Villa2.35 |
X 3.38 |
Juventus  3.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Aston Villa x Juventus:
🔮 Aston Villa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aston Villa, you can win up to $1175.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Aston Villa x Juventus: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0. |
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Analysis from Aston Villa x Juventus for the UEFA Champions League – 27 of November
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🏟️ Aston Villa X Juventus – UEFA Champions League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Aston Villa and Juventus.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Juventus
Is it worth betting on Aston Villa?
🔵 Aston Villa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $796.50
- And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$386.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $404.60;
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$425.40.
Is betting on Juventus worth it?
🔴 Juventus: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $480.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x Juventus
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Juventus
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Aston Villa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Aston Villa.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Aston Villa.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x Juventus
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
