Aston Villa x PSG Betting tips for April 15 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Aston Villa x PSG, Tuesday, 15/4/2025

📅 15/4/2025 19:00

Aston Villa 3.40

X 3.65

PSG 2.05

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Aston Villa x PSG:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $1025.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Aston Villa x PSG: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $243.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $279.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Aston Villa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Aston Villa is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 PSG is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 8 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Analysis from Aston Villa x PSG for the UEFA Champions League – 15 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Aston Villa and PSG.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304083 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aston Villa x PSG

Is it a good idea to bet on Aston Villa?

🔵 Aston Villa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $744.00;
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$54.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $371.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$489.00.

Is it worth betting on PSG?

🔴 PSG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $577.50;
• And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$127.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x PSG

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x PSG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Aston Villa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Aston Villa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 PSG.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x PSG

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.