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Home Β» Predictions Β» Champions League Β» Atalanta x Real Madrid Betting tips for December 10 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 10 December 2024, 20h00 UEFA Champions League
Atalanta Atalanta
PREDICTION No tip
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Don't miss this prediction!

Atalanta x Real Madrid Betting tips for December 10 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Atalanta x Real Madrid, Tuesday, 10/12/2024
πŸ“… 10/12/2024
20:00
Atalanta Atalanta
2.75
X
3.60
Real Madrid Real Madrid
2.41

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atalanta x Real Madrid:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Atalanta x Real Madrid

Some important points for the tip for Atalanta x Real Madrid:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $124.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-7.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Atalanta scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Atalanta is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Atalanta x Real Madrid?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atalanta x Real Madrid, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atalanta x Real Madrid for the UEFA Champions League – 10 of December

🏟️ Atalanta X Real Madrid – UEFA Champions League
πŸ“… 10 of December, 2024 – 20:00
πŸ”΅ Atalanta – Winning probability: 32.71% | Fair line: 3.06
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.36% | Fair line: 3.53
πŸ”΄ Real Madrid – Winning probability: 38.93% | Fair line: 2.57
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atalanta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atalanta and Real Madrid.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1234867 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atalanta x Real Madrid

Is betting on Atalanta worth it?

πŸ”΅ Atalanta: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $577.50
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$92.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $728.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$8.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Real Madrid?

πŸ”΄ Real Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $549.90;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$60.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atalanta x Real Madrid

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atalanta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atalanta x Real Madrid

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Atalanta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Atalanta.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Atalanta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atalanta x Real Madrid

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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