Atletico Madrid x Lille Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League
| 📅 23/10/2024 19:00 |
 Atletico Madrid1.45 |
X 4.38 |
Lille  7.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico Madrid x Lille:
🔮 Atletico Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid, you can win up to $725.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Atletico Madrid x Lille: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-64.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Madrid x Lille?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Madrid x Lille, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Atletico Madrid x Lille for the UEFA Champions League – 23 of October
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🏟️ Atletico Madrid X Lille – UEFA Champions League |
When the best bet on Atletico Madrid x Lille is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1206527 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Madrid x Lille
Should you bet on Atletico Madrid?
🔵 Atletico Madrid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 800 times – profiting $360.00;
- And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$160.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $473.20
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$386.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on Lille?
🔴 Lille: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – profiting $360.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$580.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid x Lille
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Atletico Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Lille
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Atletico Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Atletico Madrid.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid x Lille
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
